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F. Karagumruk vs Genclerbirligi

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Ataturk Olimpiyat
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

F. Karagumruk play Genclerbirligi in the Super Lig. It looks like a close match. Recently, F. Karagumruk averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Genclerbirligi averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, F. Karagumruk won 2, Genclerbirligi won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for F. Karagumruk and 0.69 for Genclerbirligi. This points to a Genclerbirligi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
F. Karagumruk
21%
Draws
40%
Genclerbirligi
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Genclerbirligi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • F. Karagumruk picked up more points recently compared to Genclerbirligi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 28%
Genclerbirligi Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric F. Karagumruk Genclerbirligi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Genclerbirligi
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Super Lig
Genclerbirligi vs F. Karagumruk
3:0
Apr 13, 2025 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Genclerbirligi
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 1. Lig
Genclerbirligi vs F. Karagumruk
1:0
May 8, 2021 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Genclerbirligi
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

F. Karagumruk Compare

Top Goalscorer Cukur T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Genclerbirligi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

F. Karagumruk 41 / 100
Genclerbirligi 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
F. Karagumruk Genclerbirligi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Genclerbirligi or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

F. Karagumruk attacking → ← attacking Genclerbirligi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

F. Karagumruk scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Genclerbirligi let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

F. Karagumruk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Genclerbirligi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 42
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Galatasaray34245577:3077
2Fenerbahce342111277:3774
3Trabzonspor34209561:3969
4Besiktas34179859:4060
5Basaksehir34169958:3557
6Goztepe341413742:3255
7Samsunspor341312946:4551
8Rizespor3410111346:5241
9Konyaspor3410101443:5040
10Kocaelispor349101526:3837
11Alanyaspor347161141:4137
12Gaziantep349101543:5837
13Kasimpasa348111533:4935
14Genclerbirligi34971836:4734
15Eyupspor34891733:4833
16Antalyaspor34881833:5532
17Kayserispor346121627:6230
18F. Karagumruk34862031:5430