Sport Picks
F. Karagumruk vs Genclerbirligi
Turkey
Super Lig 2025/2026 Ataturk Olimpiyat, Istanbul 
Match Events
17'
17'
Cukur T.
Assist: Lichnovsky I.
45'
45'
Lichnovsky I.
45'
45'
Mimaroglu M.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
F. Karagumruk in this Super Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored F. Karagumruk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: F. Karagumruk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- F. Karagumruk average 1.23 goals a game right now, well clear of Genclerbirligi's 1.16.
- F. Karagumruk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Super Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 68%
Genclerbirligi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | F. Karagumruk | Genclerbirligi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Genclerbirligi
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Super Lig
Genclerbirligi vs F. Karagumruk
3:0
Apr 13, 2025 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Genclerbirligi
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 1. Lig
Genclerbirligi vs F. Karagumruk
1:0
May 8, 2021 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Genclerbirligi
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
F. Karagumruk Compare
Top Goalscorer Cukur T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Genclerbirligi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
F. Karagumruk 95 / 100
Genclerbirligi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
F. Karagumruk Genclerbirligi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick F. Karagumruk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
F. Karagumruk found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Genclerbirligi conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: F. Karagumruk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
F. Karagumruk VS Genclerbirligi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
F. Karagumruk
(Home) 19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2 F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3 F. Karagumruk
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Kayserispor
29 Aug
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 1 F. Karagumruk
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Kayserispor
21 Aug
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Bursaspor
15 Aug
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Umraniyespor
16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
Page 1 of 3
Genclerbirligi
(Away) 19 Sept
Basaksehir
4 : 0 Genclerbirligi
13 Sept
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2 Kasimpasa
06 Sept
Trabzonspor
5 : 0 Genclerbirligi
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
23 Aug
Goztepe
0 : 1 Genclerbirligi
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Basaksehir
4 : 0 Genclerbirligi
06 Sept
Trabzonspor
5 : 0 Genclerbirligi
23 Aug
Goztepe
0 : 1 Genclerbirligi
24 Jul
Kasimpasa
3 : 0 Genclerbirligi
17 May
Trabzonspor
0 : 3 Genclerbirligi
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:30 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 77:37 | 74 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 61:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:32 | 55 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:52 | 41 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:50 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 26:38 | 37 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 41:41 | 37 |
| 12 | Gaziantep | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:58 | 37 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:49 | 35 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:48 | 33 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:55 | 32 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 27:62 | 30 |
| 18 | F. Karagumruk | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:54 | 30 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)
