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F. Karagumruk vs Istanbulspor AS

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Ataturk Olimpiyat, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Gray A.
46'
Sub
Serginho In: Sivri A.
Out: Serginho
46'
Sub
Kurukalip C. In: Balkovec J.
Out: Kurukalip C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Turkish Cup tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
F. Karagumruk
6%
Draws
90%
Istanbulspor AS
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Istanbulspor AS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Istanbulspor AS lately — more wins on the board than F. Karagumruk.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Istanbulspor AS taking it.
  • Istanbulspor AS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor F. Karagumruk, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 19%
Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric F. Karagumruk Istanbulspor AS
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2025 Turkish Cup
F. Karagumruk vs Istanbulspor AS
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs F. Karagumruk
2:0
Sep 30, 2024 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Istanbulspor AS
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 Super Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs F. Karagumruk
1:2
Dec 1, 2023 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Istanbulspor AS
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

F. Karagumruk 10 / 100
Istanbulspor AS 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
F. Karagumruk Istanbulspor AS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

F. Karagumruk found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Istanbulspor AS let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

F. Karagumruk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

F. Karagumruk VS Istanbulspor AS
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

F. Karagumruk

(Home)
16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1
Alanyaspor
09 May
Kocaelispor
0 : 1
F. Karagumruk
03 May
F. Karagumruk
1 : 0
Genclerbirligi
27 Apr
Besiktas
0 : 0
F. Karagumruk
18 Apr
F. Karagumruk
1 : 2
Eyupspor
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Istanbulspor AS

(Away)
12 Jul
Kasimpasa
1 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
01 May
Istanbulspor AS
8 : 1
Adanademirspor
25 Apr
Vanspor FK
1 : 3
Istanbulspor AS
19 Apr
Istanbulspor AS
3 : 1
Sariyer
13 Apr
Sivasspor
1 : 3
Istanbulspor AS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray44008:312
2Trabzonspor430113:49
3Alanyaspor42118:47
4Basaksehir42028:76
5F. Karagumruk41215:65
6Boluspor40221:62
7Istanbulspor AS40222:92
8Fethiyespor40131:71
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Samsunspor440012:312
2Konyaspor44009:112
3Genclerbirligi43109:510
4Igdir FK41219:45
5Eyupspor41125:64
6Bodrumspor40133:71
7Aliaga40135:161
8Antalyaspor40040:100
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Besiktas431010:310
2Fenerbahce43019:39
3Erzurumspor FK42028:86
4Gaziantep42028:106
5Kocaelispor41124:44
6Rizespor41127:94
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:54
8Keciorengucu41036:133
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams