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F. Karagumruk vs Keciorengucu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Yusuf Ziya Onis, Istanbul
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

F. Karagumruk host Keciorengucu in the 1. Lig. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Keciorengucu have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while F. Karagumruk have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, F. Karagumruk have won 3 to Keciorengucu's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.63, favoring Keciorengucu. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
F. Karagumruk
35%
Draws
45%
Keciorengucu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Keciorengucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Keciorengucu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 14%
Keciorengucu Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric F. Karagumruk Keciorengucu
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.18 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Keciorengucu
1:0
Dec 22, 2024 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs F. Karagumruk
0:1
Jul 12, 2020 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs F. Karagumruk
3:0
Dec 22, 2019 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Keciorengucu
0:2
Apr 29, 2017 2. Lig White Group
Keciorengucu vs F. Karagumruk
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

F. Karagumruk 31 / 100
Keciorengucu 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
F. Karagumruk Keciorengucu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

F. Karagumruk scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Keciorengucu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: F. Karagumruk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

F. Karagumruk VS Keciorengucu
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

F. Karagumruk

(Home)
11 Oct
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Muglaspor
03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1
F. Karagumruk
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Manisa FK
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3
F. Karagumruk
Page 1 of 6

Keciorengucu

(Away)
09 Oct
Bodrumspor
0 : 2
Keciorengucu
03 Oct
Genclerbirligi
0 : 1
Keciorengucu
19 Sept
Keciorengucu
1 : 1
Sivasspor
12 Sept
Vanspor FK
1 : 1
Keciorengucu
05 Sept
Keciorengucu
3 : 0
Sariyer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Mardin 1969 9 4 3 2 11:6 15
7 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
8 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
9 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
10 F. Karagumruk 9 3 4 2 13:12 13
11 Muglaspor 9 2 6 1 9:8 12
12 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)