Sport Picks
F. Karagumruk vs Manisa FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
1. Lig Yusuf Ziya Onis, Istanbul 
Match Events
21'
21'
Cankaya A.
31'
31'
Pesic A.
Assist: Ahmed T.
54'
54'
Sub
Gureler Y. In: Inal F.
Out: Gureler Y.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this 1. Lig matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: F. Karagumruk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Manisa FK lately — more wins on the board than F. Karagumruk.
- Win probability leans F. Karagumruk's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 16%
Manisa FK Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | F. Karagumruk | Manisa FK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Manisa FK
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs F. Karagumruk
2:2
Aug 24, 2024 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Manisa FK
0:2
May 21, 2019 2. Lig Red Group
F. Karagumruk vs Manisa FK
2:0
May 17, 2019 2. Lig Red Group
Manisa FK vs F. Karagumruk
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
F. Karagumruk Compare
Top Goalscorer Pesic A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Manisa FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Anziani J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
F. Karagumruk 48 / 100
Manisa FK 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
F. Karagumruk Manisa FK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick F. Karagumruk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: F. Karagumruk scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Manisa FK conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
F. Karagumruk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
F. Karagumruk VS Manisa FK
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
F. Karagumruk
(Home) 03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1 F. Karagumruk
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2 F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3 F. Karagumruk
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Kayserispor
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Kayserispor
21 Aug
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Bursaspor
15 Aug
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Umraniyespor
16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
Page 1 of 3
Manisa FK
(Away) 10 Oct
Kayserispor
3 : 2 Manisa FK
20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1 Istanbulspor AS
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2 Bursaspor
03 Sept
Igdir FK
4 : 2 Manisa FK
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Kayserispor
3 : 2 Manisa FK
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
03 Sept
Igdir FK
4 : 2 Manisa FK
24 Aug
Sivasspor
2 : 2 Manisa FK
07 Aug
Boluspor
1 : 2 Manisa FK
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Keciorengucu | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Batman Petrolspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 6 | Antalyaspor | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Sariyer | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:5 | 13 |
| 9 | Mardin 1969 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 12 |
| 10 | F. Karagumruk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 11 | Sivasspor | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Muglaspor | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 11 |
| 13 | Pendikspor | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Manisa FK | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 15 | Bodrumspor | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 17 | Erokspor | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 18 | Istanbulspor AS | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:19 | 5 |
| 19 | Vanspor FK | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:19 | 4 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3:21 | 1 |
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