Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FA Siauliai vs FC Hegelmann

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Siauliai central stadium
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FA Siauliai host FC Hegelmann in the TOPLYGA. This one's hard to separate. FA Siauliai have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against FC Hegelmann's 1 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Hegelmann slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.44, favoring FC Hegelmann. FC Hegelmann in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FA Siauliai
39%
Draws
30%
FC Hegelmann
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FA Siauliai have won more games recently than FC Hegelmann.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 16%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FA Siauliai FC Hegelmann
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FA Siauliai
1:1
Mar 11, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FA Siauliai
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FC Hegelmann
0:1
Aug 7, 2025 Lithuanian Cup
FC Hegelmann vs FA Siauliai
3:1
Jul 5, 2025 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FA Siauliai
5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FA Siauliai 31 / 100
FC Hegelmann 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FA Siauliai FC Hegelmann

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Hegelmann let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

FA Siauliai's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

FA Siauliai has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FA Siauliai VS FC Hegelmann
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Kauno Zalgiris1987434:1531
2Banga1986522:1430
3Suduva1979321:1630
4Dziugas Telsiai1986528:2230
5Transinvest1985628:2529
6Zalgiris1984727:2128
7FC Hegelmann19310620:2919
8FK Panevezys20541118:3719
9FA Siauliai19271018:3713
10Riteriai00000:00