Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Siauliai central stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Asante I.
28'
Skytte S.
36'
Micevicius G.

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between FA Siauliai and FK Panevezys finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FA Siauliai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FA Siauliai
39%
Draws
31%
FK Panevezys
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Panevezys has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FA Siauliai.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in TOPLYGA provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 17%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FA Siauliai FK Panevezys
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
3:3
Jul 20, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FA Siauliai Compare

Top Goalscorer Garbaliauskas N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vukovic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FK Panevezys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FA Siauliai 30 / 100
FK Panevezys 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FA Siauliai FK Panevezys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FA Siauliai scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

FK Panevezys let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

FA Siauliai went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FK Panevezys lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FA Siauliai VS FK Panevezys
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Kauno Zalgiris1987434:1531
2Banga1986522:1430
3Suduva1979321:1630
4Dziugas Telsiai1986528:2230
5Transinvest1985628:2529
6Zalgiris1984727:2128
7FC Hegelmann19310620:2919
8FK Panevezys20541118:3719
9FA Siauliai19271018:3713
10Riteriai00000:00