Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FA Siauliai vs Riteriai

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Siauliai central stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FA Siauliai play Riteriai in the TOPLYGA. It looks like a close match. Recently, FA Siauliai averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. Riteriai averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, FA Siauliai won 3, Riteriai won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 25, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for FA Siauliai and 0.81 for Riteriai. This points to a FA Siauliai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
FA Siauliai
27%
Draws
27%
Riteriai
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: FA Siauliai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • FA Siauliai picked up more points recently compared to Riteriai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 26%
Riteriai Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FA Siauliai Riteriai
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.23 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Riteriai
2:0
Mar 20, 2026 TOPLYGA
Riteriai vs FA Siauliai
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Riteriai
2:1
Jul 11, 2025 TOPLYGA
Riteriai vs FA Siauliai
0:2
Jun 19, 2025 TOPLYGA
Riteriai vs FA Siauliai
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FA Siauliai Compare

Top Goalscorer Batalha R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garbaliauskas N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Riteriai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FA Siauliai 47 / 100
Riteriai 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FA Siauliai Riteriai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FA Siauliai or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FA Siauliai attacking → ← attacking Riteriai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FA Siauliai scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Riteriai let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FA Siauliai went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Riteriai lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 23
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Suduva1979321:1630
2Dziugas Telsiai1986528:2230
3Transinvest1885527:2229
4FK Kauno Zalgiris1877431:1528
5Zalgiris1984727:2128
6Banga1876519:1327
7FC Hegelmann19310620:2919
8FK Panevezys19541018:3419
9FA Siauliai19271018:3713
10Riteriai00000:00