Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FA Siauliai vs Suduva

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Siauliai central stadium, Šiauliai
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Steponavicius F.
33'
Sub
Baliutavicius G. In: Linkevicius P.
Out: Baliutavicius G.
46'
Sub
Garbaliauskas N. In: Nwoga C.
Out: Garbaliauskas N.

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between FA Siauliai and Suduva finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FA Siauliai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
FA Siauliai
15%
Draws
69%
Suduva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suduva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Suduva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Suduva's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 10%
Suduva Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FA Siauliai Suduva
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.17 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FA Siauliai
2:1
May 2, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Suduva
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FA Siauliai
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs FA Siauliai
2:2
Aug 25, 2025 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Suduva
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FA Siauliai Compare

Top Goalscorer Pranckus P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zebrauskas K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Suduva Compare

Top Goalscorer Steponavicius F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FA Siauliai 10 / 100
Suduva 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FA Siauliai Suduva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suduva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FA Siauliai scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Suduva conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: FA Siauliai stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FA Siauliai VS Suduva
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FA Siauliai

(Home)
17 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 0
FK Panevezys
09 Aug
FA Siauliai
3 : 4
Dziugas Telsiai
03 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 3
Banga
24 Jul
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FC Hegelmann
18 Jul
FK Kauno Zalgiris
4 : 0
FA Siauliai
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Suduva

(Away)
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
09 Aug
Banga
0 : 3
Suduva
20 Jul
Suduva
5 : 1
FC Hegelmann
06 Jul
Suduva
0 : 0
Transinvest
29 Jun
FK Panevezys
1 : 2
Suduva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 22 10 9 3 31:17 39
2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 22 10 8 4 41:16 38
3 Dziugas Telsiai 24 10 7 7 34:29 37
4 Banga 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
5 Transinvest 24 10 6 8 33:32 36
6 Zalgiris 22 10 4 8 35:27 34
7 FK Panevezys 23 6 5 12 21:39 23
8 FC Hegelmann 24 4 10 10 26:41 22
9 FA Siauliai 24 3 7 14 23:50 16
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)