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Faaberg vs Alvdal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 9 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Faaberg in this Division 3 - Group 9 2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Faaberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Faaberg
15%
Draws
0%
Alvdal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Faaberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Alvdal haven't matched Faaberg's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Faaberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Faaberg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Faaberg Clean Sheet 15%
Alvdal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Faaberg Alvdal
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 15 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 25
Goals Scored 1.82 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.79 4.42
Expected Goals (xG) 3.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2016 Division 3 - Group 9
Alvdal vs Faaberg
0:2
Jul 2, 2016 Division 3 - Group 9
Faaberg vs Alvdal
4:1
Oct 9, 2015 Division 3 - Group 9
Faaberg vs Alvdal
3:2
Jun 17, 2015 Division 3 - Group 9
Alvdal vs Faaberg
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Faaberg 84 / 100
Alvdal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Faaberg Alvdal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Faaberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alvdal conceded in 94% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Alvdal's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Faaberg found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Faaberg VS Alvdal
2 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 4.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Faaberg

(Home)
02 May
Faaberg
0 : 3
Valerenga
22 Oct
Alvdal
0 : 2
Faaberg
15 Oct
Faaberg
1 : 4
Sverresborg IF
08 Oct
Faaberg
0 : 1
Redalen
01 Oct
Heimdal
3 : 2
Faaberg
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Alvdal

(Away)
22 Oct
Alvdal
0 : 2
Faaberg
15 Oct
Redalen
7 : 1
Alvdal
08 Oct
Alvdal
0 : 2
Raufoss 2
01 Oct
Alvdal
0 : 3
Lillehammer
26 Sept
Gjovik-Lyn 2
10 : 2
Alvdal
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