Sport Picks
Fabriano Cerreto vs Monticelli
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 game between Fabriano Cerreto and Monticelli finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monticelli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Monticelli come out ahead of Fabriano Cerreto on wins alone.
- 70% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fabriano Cerreto | Monticelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 13 |
| Losses | 22 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fabriano Cerreto found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Monticelli conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Fabriano Cerreto has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fabriano Cerreto
(Home)Monticelli
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vis Pesaro | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 61:29 | 73 |
| 2 | Matelica | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 66:28 | 71 |
| 3 | Avezzano | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 51:26 | 62 |
| 4 | Pineto | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 53:41 | 57 |
| 5 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 57:40 | 55 |
| 6 | ASD Francavilla | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 47:38 | 53 |
| 7 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 45:35 | 51 |
| 8 | Vastese | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 55:50 | 51 |
| 9 | Sangiustese | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 39:41 | 48 |
| 10 | Campobasso | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41:40 | 45 |
| 11 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43:54 | 44 |
| 12 | Recanatese | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47:47 | 43 |
| 13 | Agnonese | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:35 | 41 |
| 14 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:51 | 40 |
| 15 | Jesina | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32:46 | 34 |
| 16 | Monticelli | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 25:45 | 30 |
| 17 | Fabriano Cerreto | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 29:69 | 20 |
| 18 | Nerostellati Pratola | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 19:71 | 18 |
