Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018

Fabriano Cerreto

1 - 1

Nerostellati Pratola

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 game between Fabriano Cerreto and Nerostellati Pratola finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Fabriano Cerreto

39%

Draws

30%

Nerostellati Pratola

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Nerostellati Pratola's 0.88 goals per match outpaces what Fabriano Cerreto have produced (0.63).
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Fabriano Cerreto Clean Sheet 16%

Nerostellati Pratola Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fabriano Cerreto	Nerostellati Pratola
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	3	3
Draws	5	9
Losses	22	18
Goals Scored	0.63	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2018 Serie D - Group F

Fabriano Cerreto vs Nerostellati Pratola

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Dec 17, 2017 Serie D - Group F

Nerostellati Pratola vs Fabriano Cerreto

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fabriano Cerreto 31 / 100

Nerostellati Pratola 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fabriano Cerreto Nerostellati Pratola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USD Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nerostellati Pratola has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Fabriano Cerreto scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Fabriano Cerreto has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fabriano Cerreto VS Nerostellati Pratola

0.63 Goals Scored 0.88

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vis Pesaro	34	23	4	7	61:29	73
2	Matelica	34	22	5	7	66:28	71
3	Avezzano	34	16	14	4	51:26	62
4	Pineto	34	15	12	7	53:41	57
5	Aquila Calcio	34	15	10	9	57:40	55
6	ASD Francavilla	34	14	11	9	47:38	53
7	San Marino Calcio	34	15	6	13	45:35	51
8	Vastese	34	15	6	13	55:50	51
9	Sangiustese	34	13	9	12	39:41	48
10	Campobasso	34	13	10	11	41:40	45
11	Castelfidardo	34	12	8	14	43:54	44
12	Recanatese	34	12	7	15	47:47	43
13	Agnonese	34	11	8	15	34:35	41
14	Notaresco Calcio	34	11	7	16	42:51	40
15	Jesina	34	8	10	16	32:46	34
16	Monticelli	34	5	15	14	25:45	30
17	Fabriano Cerreto	34	5	5	24	29:69	20
18	Nerostellati Pratola	34	3	9	22	19:71	18