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Fabriano Cerreto vs Pineto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
75' Event
86' Event

AI Match Summary

Pineto in this Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pineto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Fabriano Cerreto
30%
Draws
58%
Pineto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pineto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pineto lately — more wins on the board than Fabriano Cerreto.
  • Pineto are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Fabriano Cerreto Clean Sheet 21%
Pineto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fabriano Cerreto Pineto
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 3 16
Draws 5 12
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.73 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Fabriano Cerreto vs Pineto
1:3
Oct 29, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs Fabriano Cerreto
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fabriano Cerreto 29 / 100
Pineto 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fabriano Cerreto Pineto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pineto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Fabriano Cerreto scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Pineto has conceded goals in 79% of their last 42 outings.

Fabriano Cerreto has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pineto
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fabriano Cerreto

(Home)
05 May
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 1
Nerostellati Pratola
29 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
3 : 2
Fabriano Cerreto
22 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 3
Sangiustese
15 Apr
Vis Pesaro
3 : 0
Fabriano Cerreto
08 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 2
Monticelli
Page 1 of 6

Pineto

(Away)
04 Oct
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pineto
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vis Pesaro 34 23 4 7 61:29 73
2 Matelica 34 22 5 7 66:28 71
3 Avezzano 34 16 14 4 51:26 62
4 Pineto 34 15 12 7 53:41 57
5 Aquila Calcio 34 15 10 9 57:40 55
6 ASD Francavilla 34 14 11 9 47:38 53
7 San Marino Calcio 34 15 6 13 45:35 51
8 Vastese 34 15 6 13 55:50 51
9 Sangiustese 34 13 9 12 39:41 48
10 Campobasso 34 13 10 11 41:40 45
11 Castelfidardo 34 12 8 14 43:54 44
12 Recanatese 34 12 7 15 47:47 43
13 Agnonese 34 11 8 15 34:35 41
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 7 16 42:51 40
15 Jesina 34 8 10 16 32:46 34
16 Monticelli 34 5 15 14 25:45 30
17 Fabriano Cerreto 34 5 5 24 29:69 20
18 Nerostellati Pratola 34 3 9 22 19:71 18
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 (Play Offs)