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Fabriano Cerreto vs Recanatese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 game between Fabriano Cerreto and Recanatese finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fabriano Cerreto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Fabriano Cerreto
30%
Draws
58%
Recanatese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Recanatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Fabriano Cerreto haven't matched Recanatese's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Recanatese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Fabriano Cerreto Clean Sheet 20%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fabriano Cerreto Recanatese
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 3 15
Draws 5 14
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.73 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Fabriano Cerreto vs Recanatese
3:1
Oct 1, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Fabriano Cerreto
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fabriano Cerreto 16 / 100
Recanatese 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fabriano Cerreto Recanatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recanatese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Fabriano Cerreto scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Recanatese has conceded goals in 74% of their last 42 outings.

Recent resilience: Fabriano Cerreto stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Recanatese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fabriano Cerreto

(Home)
05 May
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 1
Nerostellati Pratola
29 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
3 : 2
Fabriano Cerreto
22 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 3
Sangiustese
15 Apr
Vis Pesaro
3 : 0
Fabriano Cerreto
08 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 2
Monticelli
Page 1 of 6

Recanatese

(Away)
04 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3
Maceratese
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1
Recanatese
20 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0
Montecchio Gallo
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1
Foligno
12 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 1
Recanatese
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vis Pesaro 34 23 4 7 61:29 73
2 Matelica 34 22 5 7 66:28 71
3 Avezzano 34 16 14 4 51:26 62
4 Pineto 34 15 12 7 53:41 57
5 Aquila Calcio 34 15 10 9 57:40 55
6 ASD Francavilla 34 14 11 9 47:38 53
7 San Marino Calcio 34 15 6 13 45:35 51
8 Vastese 34 15 6 13 55:50 51
9 Sangiustese 34 13 9 12 39:41 48
10 Campobasso 34 13 10 11 41:40 45
11 Castelfidardo 34 12 8 14 43:54 44
12 Recanatese 34 12 7 15 47:47 43
13 Agnonese 34 11 8 15 34:35 41
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 7 16 42:51 40
15 Jesina 34 8 10 16 32:46 34
16 Monticelli 34 5 15 14 25:45 30
17 Fabriano Cerreto 34 5 5 24 29:69 20
18 Nerostellati Pratola 34 3 9 22 19:71 18
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 (Play Offs)