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Fagerborg vs Assiden

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2015 game between Fagerborg and Assiden finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Assiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Fagerborg
20%
Draws
0%
Assiden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fagerborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Assiden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fagerborg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Fagerborg Clean Sheet 14%
Assiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fagerborg Assiden
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 1.68 1.72
Goals Conceded 3 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Assiden vs Fagerborg
1:2
May 25, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Fagerborg vs Assiden
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fagerborg 84 / 100
Assiden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fagerborg Assiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fagerborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Assiden let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Assiden has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Fagerborg scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Assiden
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fagerborg

(Home)
24 Oct
Fagerborg
1 : 1
Stromsgodset 3
17 Oct
Larvik Turn
2 : 1
Fagerborg
12 Oct
Fagerborg
1 : 1
Vestfossen
05 Oct
Fagerborg
6 : 1
Birkebeineren
28 Sept
Lommedalen
4 : 1
Fagerborg
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Assiden

(Away)
22 Aug
Assiden
0 : 4
Notodden
26 Oct
Lillehammer
4 : 2
Assiden
19 Oct
Assiden
3 : 4
Lillestrom 2
11 Oct
Bjorkelangen
3 : 1
Assiden
05 Oct
Assiden
1 : 5
Lorenskog
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