Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fairview Rangers vs Tolka

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Fairview Rangers
15%
Draws
57%
Tolka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tolka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Tolka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tolka are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Tolka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tolka, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 98%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 98%
Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fairview Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Tolka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fairview Rangers Tolka
Matches Played 7 17
Wins 2 6
Draws 0 3
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FAI Cup
Fairview Rangers vs Tolka
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fairview Rangers 22 / 100
Tolka 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fairview Rangers Tolka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tolka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tolka lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Fairview Rangers scored in 43% of their last 7 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fairview Rangers VS Tolka
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.4 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
40% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fairview Rangers

(Home)
16 May
Fairview Rangers
0 : 3
Tolka
19 Jul
Fairview Rangers
0 : 4
Shelbourne
17 May
Fairview Rangers
4 : 0
Baldoyle Utd.
24 Jul
Fairview Rangers
0 : 3
Finn Harps
16 May
Tullamore
2 : 1
Fairview Rangers
Page 1 of 2

Tolka

(Away)
19 Jul
Derry City
3 : 0
Tolka
16 May
Fairview Rangers
0 : 3
Tolka
18 Jul
Galway United
2 : 0
Tolka
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1
Janesboro
21 Aug
Tolka
0 : 4
Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians -
Waterford -
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -