Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fajr Sepasi vs Arvand Khorramshahr

Iran Iran

Division 1 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Mohammadi B.

AI Match Summary

Fajr Sepasi in this Division 1 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fajr Sepasi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Fajr Sepasi
11%
Draws
9%
Arvand Khorramshahr
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Fajr Sepasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Arvand Khorramshahr haven't matched Fajr Sepasi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Fajr Sepasi's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Division 1 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 68%
Arvand Khorramshahr Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fajr Sepasi Arvand Khorramshahr
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2019 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Arvand Khorramshahr
1:0
Sep 23, 2018 Azadegan League
Arvand Khorramshahr vs Fajr Sepasi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fajr Sepasi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammadi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Arvand Khorramshahr Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fajr Sepasi 86 / 100
Arvand Khorramshahr 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fajr Sepasi Arvand Khorramshahr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fajr Sepasi's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Arvand Khorramshahr conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Arvand Khorramshahr lost 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Fajr Sepasi VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fajr Sepasi

(Home)
27 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
20 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
13 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
06 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
2 : 1
Tractor
02 Feb
Zob Ahan
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6

Arvand Khorramshahr

(Away)
30 Apr
Khooneh
3 : 0
Arvand Khorramshahr
23 Apr
Arvand Khorramshahr
1 : 0
Qashqai Shiraz
10 Apr
Arvand Khorramshahr
0 : 2
Gol Reyhan Alborz
04 Apr
Navad Urmia
3 : 1
Arvand Khorramshahr
29 Mar
Arvand Khorramshahr
0 : 0
Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gol Gohar301513247:2658
2Shahin Bushehr301412434:1754
3Gol Reyhan Alborz30139830:1948
4Aluminium Arak301212627:2348
5Mes Kerman301211738:2247
6Havadar SC301110948:3843
7Baderan Tehran301110935:3243
8Qashqai Shiraz301161328:3439
9Fajr Sepasi309111026:2438
10Mes Rafsanjan30991240:4236
11Malavan301011929:2835
12Khooneh307101322:3031
13Navad Urmia307101323:4031
14Shahrdari Tabriz306101427:4528
15Arvand Khorramshahr306101417:3628
16Shahrdari Mahshahr305101519:3425
17Meshki Pooshan00000:00
18Bargh00000:00
19Naft Tehran00000:00
20Machine Sazi Tabriz00000:00
21Gostaresh00000:00
22Esteghlal Jonoub00000:00
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2019/2020 (Main)