Sport Picks
Fajr Sepasi vs Persepolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iran
Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 
Match Events
9'
9'
Shahabi H.
25'
25'
Shekari R.
Assist: Alipour A.
31'
31'
Jafarikia S.
AI Match Summary
The Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 game between Fajr Sepasi and Persepolis finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fajr Sepasi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Persepolis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Persepolis come out ahead of Fajr Sepasi on wins alone.
- Model gives Persepolis a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 19%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Persepolis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 25 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Persepolis
2:1
Aug 18, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Fajr Sepasi
1:1
Jun 2, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Persepolis
0:1
Jan 13, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Fajr Sepasi
1:0
Feb 9, 2014 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Persepolis
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fajr Sepasi Compare
Top Goalscorer Shahabi H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sharifi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Persepolis Compare
Top Goalscorer Shekari R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fajr Sepasi 12 / 100
Persepolis 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fajr Sepasi Persepolis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Persepolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fajr Sepasi scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.
Defensive concern: Persepolis conceded in 60% of 25 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Fajr Sepasi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fajr Sepasi VS Persepolis
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fajr Sepasi
(Home) 08 Oct
Sepahan
6 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0 Fajr Sepasi
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Fajr Sepasi
0 : 0 Zob Ahan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Fajr Sepasi
0 : 0 Zob Ahan
19 Aug
Fajr Sepasi
0 : 0 Sanat Naft
20 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 0 Shams Azar Qazvin
06 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
2 : 1 Tractor
Page 1 of 3
Persepolis
(Away) 07 Sept
Persepolis
2 : 0 Zob Ahan
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1 Persepolis
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0 Malavan
24 Aug
Tractor
1 : 0 Persepolis
19 Aug
Persepolis
4 : 1 Esteghlal Khuzestan
Page 1 of 5
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1 Persepolis
24 Aug
Tractor
1 : 0 Persepolis
15 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 2 Persepolis
26 Jun
Chadormalu
2 : 1 Persepolis
14 Feb
Gol Gohar
3 : 1 Persepolis
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Esteghlal TEH | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 29:16 | 41 |
| 2 | Tractor | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 30:12 | 39 |
| 3 | Sepahan | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 24:13 | 39 |
| 4 | Gol Gohar | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 24:24 | 36 |
| 5 | Chadormalu | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 27:19 | 35 |
| 6 | Persepolis | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 23:19 | 34 |
| 7 | Foolad | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 21:16 | 31 |
| 8 | Fajr Sepasi | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:27 | 30 |
| 9 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 22:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Malavan | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | 29 |
| 11 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 16:23 | 25 |
| 12 | Paykan | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 15:21 | 24 |
| 13 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 23 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 15:19 | 22 |
| 14 | Aluminium Arak | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:21 | 22 |
| 15 | Zob Ahan | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 12:19 | 19 |
| 16 | Mes Rafsanjan | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 13:29 | 15 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
