Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Rigi M.
18'
Mohammadi M.
24'
Azhir M.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Fajr Sepasi and Shams Azar Qazvin finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fajr Sepasi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Fajr Sepasi
22%
Draws
18%
Shams Azar Qazvin
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fajr Sepasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fajr Sepasi come out ahead of Shams Azar Qazvin on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fajr Sepasi a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Fajr Sepasi here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 68%
Shams Azar Qazvin Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fajr Sepasi Shams Azar Qazvin
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 13
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Fajr Sepasi
0:1
Feb 25, 2023 Azadegan League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Fajr Sepasi
3:1
Sep 28, 2022 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fajr Sepasi 68 / 100
Shams Azar Qazvin 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fajr Sepasi Shams Azar Qazvin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fajr Sepasi's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Shams Azar Qazvin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Shams Azar Qazvin let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fajr Sepasi VS Shams Azar Qazvin
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915