Sport Picks
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Russian Cup Fakel Stadium, Voronezh 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Fakel Voronezh at 1 goals for, 1.36 against; Akhmat Grozny at 1.32 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Fakel Voronezh have won 2 to Akhmat Grozny's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 18, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.50) back Akhmat Grozny to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Akhmat Grozny have won more games recently than Fakel Voronezh.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Akhmat Grozny arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Fakel Voronezh, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fakel Voronezh | Akhmat Grozny |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fakel Voronezh scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Akhmat Grozny has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Fakel Voronezh stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fakel Voronezh
(Home)Akhmat Grozny
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
