Sport Picks
Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Makhachkala
Russia
Premier League Fakel Stadium, Voronezh 
Match Events
21'
21'
Yakimov V.
30'
30'
Zhuravlev Y.
Own Goal
42'
42'
Apshatsev M.
AI Match Summary
Dynamo Makhachkala in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dynamo Makhachkala.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Makhachkala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
21%
/ Low Confidence
- Dynamo Makhachkala have won more games recently than Fakel Voronezh.
- Win probability leans Fakel Voronezh's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 68%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fakel Voronezh | Dynamo Makhachkala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Makhachkala
1:2
Jan 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Makhachkala
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Fakel Voronezh
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Makhachkala
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 Club Friendly
Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Makhachkala
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fakel Voronezh Compare
Top Goalscorer Yakimov V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Dynamo Makhachkala Compare
Top Goalscorer Sandrachuk A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fakel Voronezh 50 / 100
Dynamo Makhachkala 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fakel Voronezh Dynamo Makhachkala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fakel Voronezh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dynamo Makhachkala let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Fakel Voronezh found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Dynamo Makhachkala's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Fakel Voronezh VS Dynamo Makhachkala
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Fakel Voronezh
(Home) 16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
29 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
29 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
22 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 0 Orenburg
10 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
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Dynamo Makhachkala
(Away) 17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3 CSKA Moscow
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2 Dynamo Makhachkala
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0 Rodina Moscow
02 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 0 Dynamo Makhachkala
30 Aug
Rubin Kazan
3 : 1 Dynamo Makhachkala
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2 Dynamo Makhachkala
02 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 0 Dynamo Makhachkala
30 Aug
Rubin Kazan
3 : 1 Dynamo Makhachkala
20 Aug
Baltika
2 : 1 Dynamo Makhachkala
16 Aug
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 4 Dynamo Makhachkala
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 8 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
