Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fakirerpool YMC vs Mohammedan

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL Shahid Barkat Stadium, Gazipur
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Hossain S.
17'
Dewan S.
46'
Sub
Dewan S. In: Reza S.
Out: Dewan S.

AI Match Summary

The BFL game between Fakirerpool YMC and Mohammedan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fakirerpool YMC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Fakirerpool YMC
15%
Draws
76%
Mohammedan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohammedan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Mohammedan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Mohammedan taking it.
  • Regular BFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Fakirerpool YMC Clean Sheet 10%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fakirerpool YMC Mohammedan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 BFL
Mohammedan vs Fakirerpool YMC
3:0
Nov 29, 2025 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Mohammedan
2:0
May 27, 2025 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Mohammedan
1:6
Jan 31, 2025 Federation Cup
Mohammedan vs Fakirerpool YMC
5:2
Jan 24, 2025 BFL
Mohammedan vs Fakirerpool YMC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fakirerpool YMC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hossain I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouattara B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Mohammedan Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fakirerpool YMC 10 / 100
Mohammedan 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fakirerpool YMC Mohammedan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohammedan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Mohammedan has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Fakirerpool YMC's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Fakirerpool YMC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fakirerpool YMC VS Mohammedan
0.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fakirerpool YMC

(Home)
23 May
Bashundara Kings
4 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
15 May
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
PWD Sports Club
08 May
Fakirerpool YMC
1 : 7
Fortis
01 May
Abahani Limited Dhaka
2 : 0
Fakirerpool YMC
28 Apr
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
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Mohammedan

(Away)
23 May
Mohammedan
5 : 0
Brothers U.
20 May
Bashundara Kings
3 : 2
Mohammedan
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
12 May
Brothers U.
1 : 2
Mohammedan
09 May
Arambagh
0 : 2
Mohammedan
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