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Falcon U20 vs Atletico Gloriense U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano U20
Wed, Sep 30, 2026
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Falcon U20 host Atletico Gloriense U20 in the Sergipano U20. Falcon U20 go into this one as the clear favorite. Falcon U20 have averaged 2.2 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Atletico Gloriense U20's 0.88 scored and 2.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Falcon U20 slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 30, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 1.00, favoring Falcon U20. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Falcon U20
15%
Draws
0%
Atletico Gloriense U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Falcon U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Falcon U20 have won more games recently than Atletico Gloriense U20.
  • Model gives Falcon U20 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Falcon U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Gloriense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falcon U20 Atletico Gloriense U20
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 20 2
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.2 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Sergipano U20
Falcon U20 vs Atletico Gloriense U20
3:0
Jun 22, 2024 Sergipano U20
Atletico Gloriense U20 vs Falcon U20
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falcon U20 85 / 100
Atletico Gloriense U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falcon U20 Atletico Gloriense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falcon U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falcon U20 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Atletico Gloriense U20 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 17 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Falcon U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Falcon U20 VS Atletico Gloriense U20
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Falcon U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Falcon U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
27 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju U20
1 : 1
Falcon U20
23 Sept
Falcon U20
5 : 0
Guarany SE U20
19 Sept
Itabaiana U20
0 : 4
Falcon U20
16 Sept
Falcon U20
2 : 1
Confianca U20
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Atletico Gloriense U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Falcon U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
26 Sept
Atletico Gloriense U20
0 : 3
Confianca U20
23 Sept
Sergipe U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
19 Sept
Lagarto U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
12 Sept
Atletico Gloriense U20
0 : 3
Desportiva Aracaju U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon U20 7 6 1 0 19:2 19
2 Itabaiana U20 7 4 2 1 17:13 14
3 Desportiva Aracaju U20 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Sergipe U20 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
5 Guarany SE U20 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
6 Confianca U20 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
7 Lagarto U20 7 1 3 3 7:8 6
8 Atletico Gloriense U20 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano U20 (Play Offs)