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Falcon U20 vs Lagarto U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano U20
Falcon U20 Logo

Falcon U20

2 - 0
FT
Lagarto U20 Logo

Lagarto U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Falcon U20 in this Sergipano U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falcon U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Falcon U20
30%
Draws
19%
Lagarto U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Falcon U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Falcon U20 lately — more wins on the board than Lagarto U20.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Falcon U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Falcon U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Lagarto U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falcon U20 Lagarto U20
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 20 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.2 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Sergipano U20
Falcon U20 vs Lagarto U20
2:0
Jun 1, 2024 Sergipano U20
Lagarto U20 vs Falcon U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falcon U20 85 / 100
Lagarto U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falcon U20 Lagarto U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falcon U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falcon U20 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Falcon U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Lagarto U20 conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Falcon U20 VS Lagarto U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Falcon U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Falcon U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
27 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju U20
1 : 1
Falcon U20
23 Sept
Falcon U20
5 : 0
Guarany SE U20
19 Sept
Itabaiana U20
0 : 4
Falcon U20
16 Sept
Falcon U20
2 : 1
Confianca U20
Page 1 of 6

Lagarto U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Lagarto U20
0 : 0
Guarany SE U20
26 Sept
Sergipe U20
1 : 0
Lagarto U20
23 Sept
Itabaiana U20
3 : 3
Lagarto U20
19 Sept
Lagarto U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
12 Sept
Falcon U20
2 : 0
Lagarto U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon U20 7 6 1 0 19:2 19
2 Itabaiana U20 7 4 2 1 17:13 14
3 Desportiva Aracaju U20 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Sergipe U20 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
5 Guarany SE U20 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
6 Confianca U20 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
7 Lagarto U20 7 1 3 3 7:8 6
8 Atletico Gloriense U20 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano U20 (Play Offs)