Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Falesti vs FCM Ungheni

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FCM Ungheni in this Liga 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FCM Ungheni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Falesti
28%
Draws
50%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FCM Ungheni lately — more wins on the board than Falesti.
  • Model gives FCM Ungheni a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Falesti Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falesti FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 2.13 3.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs FCM Ungheni
1:2
Oct 22, 2024 Moldovan Cup
Falesti vs FCM Ungheni
5:6
Apr 26, 2024 Liga 1
Falesti vs FCM Ungheni
2:2
Nov 13, 2022 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Falesti
0:2
Oct 29, 2022 Liga 1
Falesti vs FCM Ungheni
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falesti 22 / 100
FCM Ungheni 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falesti FCM Ungheni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCM Ungheni has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Falesti scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Falesti stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Falesti VS FCM Ungheni
2.13 Goals Scored 3.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FCM Ungheni750224:1315
2Falesti741212:813
3Univer Comrat732211:1211
4Oguzsport72327:89
5Zimbru Chisinau 2730411:109
6Victoria722310:158
7Olimp Comrat722312:158
8Sheriff Tiraspol 271246:125