Sport Picks

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Falesti vs FCM Ungheni

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Falesti Logo

Falesti

1 - 2
FT
FCM Ungheni Logo

FCM Ungheni

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FCM Ungheni in this Liga 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FCM Ungheni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Falesti
15%
Draws
65%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FCM Ungheni lately — more wins on the board than Falesti.
  • Model gives FCM Ungheni a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Falesti Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falesti FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.06 2.72
Goals Conceded 2.39 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs FCM Ungheni
1:2
Oct 22, 2024 Moldovan Cup
Falesti vs FCM Ungheni
5:6
Apr 26, 2024 Liga 1
Falesti vs FCM Ungheni
2:2
Nov 13, 2022 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Falesti
0:2
Oct 29, 2022 Liga 1
Falesti vs FCM Ungheni
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falesti 10 / 100
FCM Ungheni 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falesti FCM Ungheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Ungheni Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCM Ungheni has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Falesti scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Falesti stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Falesti VS FCM Ungheni
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Falesti

(Home)
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
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FCM Ungheni

(Away)
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCM Ungheni 7 5 0 2 24:13 15
2 Falesti 7 4 1 2 12:8 13
3 Univer Comrat 7 3 2 2 11:12 11
4 Oguzsport 7 2 3 2 7:8 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 7 3 0 4 11:10 9
6 Victoria 7 2 2 3 10:15 8
7 Olimp Comrat 7 2 2 3 12:15 8
8 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)