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Falesti vs Univer Comrat

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2025/2026 game between Falesti and Univer Comrat finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Univer Comrat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Falesti
39%
Draws
31%
Univer Comrat
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Univer Comrat come out ahead of Falesti on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Univer Comrat have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Falesti Clean Sheet 15%
Univer Comrat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falesti Univer Comrat
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs Univer Comrat
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 Liga 1
Falesti vs Univer Comrat
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 1
Univer Comrat vs Falesti
4:2
Aug 1, 2025 Liga 1
Falesti vs Univer Comrat
0:6
Nov 29, 2024 Liga 1
Univer Comrat vs Falesti
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falesti 30 / 100
Univer Comrat 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falesti Univer Comrat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Falesti scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Univer Comrat conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Falesti remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Falesti VS Univer Comrat
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Falesti

(Home)
16 May
Sparta Selemet
3 : 0
Falesti
24 Apr
Oguzsport
1 : 1
Falesti
17 Apr
Falesti
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
11 Apr
Falesti
4 : 0
Olimp Comrat
03 Apr
Zimbru Chisinau 2
0 : 1
Falesti
Page 1 of 6

Univer Comrat

(Away)
06 May
Univer Comrat
2 : 3
Oguzsport
24 Apr
Victoria
1 : 1
Univer Comrat
17 Apr
Univer Comrat
4 : 3
FCM Ungheni
10 Apr
Oguzsport
0 : 2
Univer Comrat
03 Apr
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FCM Ungheni750224:1315
2Falesti741212:813
3Univer Comrat732211:1211
4Oguzsport72327:89
5Zimbru Chisinau 2730411:109
6Victoria722310:158
7Olimp Comrat722312:158
8Sheriff Tiraspol 271246:125
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)