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Falesti vs Univer Comrat

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2025/2026 game between Falesti and Univer Comrat finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Univer Comrat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Falesti
30%
Draws
47%
Univer Comrat
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Univer Comrat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Univer Comrat come out ahead of Falesti on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Univer Comrat taking it.
  • Regular Liga 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Univer Comrat have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Falesti Clean Sheet 10%
Univer Comrat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falesti Univer Comrat
Matches Played 32 40
Wins 8 18
Draws 3 7
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.19 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs Univer Comrat
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 Liga 1
Falesti vs Univer Comrat
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 1
Univer Comrat vs Falesti
4:2
Aug 1, 2025 Liga 1
Falesti vs Univer Comrat
0:6
Nov 29, 2024 Liga 1
Univer Comrat vs Falesti
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falesti 10 / 100
Univer Comrat 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falesti Univer Comrat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Univer Comrat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Univer Comrat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 40 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Falesti found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: Falesti remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Falesti VS Univer Comrat
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Falesti

(Home)
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
14 Aug
Oguzsport
0 : 0
Falesti
Page 1 of 7

Univer Comrat

(Away)
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
11 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau 2
1 : 1
Univer Comrat
05 Sept
Iskra Ribnita
1 : 0
Univer Comrat
01 Sept
Sparta Selemet
0 : 3
Univer Comrat
29 Aug
Sparta Selemet
1 : 6
Univer Comrat
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCM Ungheni 7 5 0 2 24:13 15
2 Falesti 7 4 1 2 12:8 13
3 Univer Comrat 7 3 2 2 11:12 11
4 Oguzsport 7 2 3 2 7:8 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 7 3 0 4 11:10 9
6 Victoria 7 2 2 3 10:15 8
7 Olimp Comrat 7 2 2 3 12:15 8
8 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)