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Stadium Background

Falesti vs Univer Comrat

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2025/2026 game between Falesti and Univer Comrat finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Univer Comrat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Falesti
20%
Draws
33%
Univer Comrat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Falesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Medium Confidence
  • Univer Comrat carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Falesti a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Univer Comrat have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Falesti Clean Sheet 16%
Univer Comrat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falesti Univer Comrat
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs Univer Comrat
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 Liga 1
Falesti vs Univer Comrat
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 1
Univer Comrat vs Falesti
4:2
Aug 1, 2025 Liga 1
Falesti vs Univer Comrat
0:6
Nov 29, 2024 Liga 1
Univer Comrat vs Falesti
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falesti 36 / 100
Univer Comrat 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falesti Univer Comrat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Falesti found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Univer Comrat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Falesti stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Falesti VS Univer Comrat
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Falesti

(Home)
08 Aug
Falesti
1 : 0
Victoria
16 May
Sparta Selemet
3 : 0
Falesti
24 Apr
Oguzsport
1 : 1
Falesti
17 Apr
Falesti
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
11 Apr
Falesti
4 : 0
Olimp Comrat
Page 1 of 6

Univer Comrat

(Away)
07 Aug
Univer Comrat
4 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau 2
31 Jul
Univer Comrat
0 : 2
Iskra Ribnita
06 May
Univer Comrat
2 : 3
Oguzsport
24 Apr
Victoria
1 : 1
Univer Comrat
17 Apr
Univer Comrat
4 : 3
FCM Ungheni
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stauceni 15 12 2 1 45:12 38
2 Real Sireti 15 11 2 2 52:20 35
3 Univer Comrat 15 9 0 6 33:25 27
4 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 15 4 3 8 18:27 15
5 Olimp Comrat 15 3 1 11 14:44 10
6 Falesti 15 1 2 12 15:49 5
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floresti 15 9 4 2 43:13 31
2 Zimbru Chisinau 2 15 8 3 4 30:25 27
3 Iskra Ribnita 15 8 3 4 29:29 27
4 FCM Ungheni 15 7 3 5 30:22 24
5 Oguzsport 15 2 4 9 17:28 10
6 Victoria 15 2 1 12 17:49 7
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)