Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Falkenberg vs Landskrona

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Falkenberg host Landskrona in the Superettan. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Falkenberg at 2 goals for, 1.3 against; Landskrona at 1.5 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Falkenberg slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.38, favoring Falkenberg. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Falkenberg
20%
Draws
40%
Landskrona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Falkenberg come out ahead of Landskrona on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 17%
Landskrona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkenberg Landskrona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Falkenberg vs Landskrona
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Superettan
Landskrona vs Falkenberg
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Falkenberg vs Landskrona
4:1
Mar 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Landskrona vs Falkenberg
3:3
Jul 27, 2025 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Landskrona
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkenberg 31 / 100
Landskrona 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkenberg Landskrona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Landskrona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkenberg found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Landskrona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Falkenberg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Falkenberg VS Landskrona
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkenberg

(Home)
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
10 Sept
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Oster
05 Sept
Oddevold
2 : 1
Falkenberg
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
Page 1 of 6

Landskrona

(Away)
19 Sept
Nordic United
1 : 4
Landskrona
15 Sept
Landskrona
4 : 0
Sundsvall
09 Sept
Landskrona
1 : 2
Helsingborg
05 Sept
Norrby
1 : 3
Landskrona
29 Aug
Landskrona
1 : 1
Ostersund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)