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Falkenberg vs Nordic United

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Falkenberg host Nordic United in the Superettan. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Falkenberg have averaged 2 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Nordic United's 1 scored and 0.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Falkenberg have won 1 to Nordic United's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.25, favoring Falkenberg. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Falkenberg
11%
Draws
9%
Nordic United
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Falkenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Falkenberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Falkenberg a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 19%
Nordic United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkenberg Nordic United
Matches Played 26 24
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Superettan
Nordic United vs Falkenberg
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkenberg 76 / 100
Nordic United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkenberg Nordic United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkenberg scored in 96% of their last 26 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Nordic United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 24 matches.

Falkenberg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Falkenberg VS Nordic United
2 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkenberg

(Home)
21 Jul
Falkenberg
2 : 3
Helsingborg
17 Jul
Falkenberg
6 : 0
Laholms
11 Jul
Falkenberg
1 : 2
Landskrona
26 Jun
Brage
2 : 4
Falkenberg
21 Jun
Oster
1 : 3
Falkenberg
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Nordic United

(Away)
19 Jul
Nordic United
2 : 0
Orebro
27 Jun
Nordic United
3 : 3
Oddevold
21 Jun
Norrby
0 : 0
Nordic United
16 Jun
Landskrona
2 : 0
Nordic United
09 Jun
Nordic United
1 : 1
Ostersund
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Varberg1593332:1930
2Norrkoping1592426:1029
3Falkenberg1584330:2328
4Landskrona1574422:1625
5Ostersund1574424:1925
6Nordic United1574425:2225
7Oster1572624:2523
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Oddevold1555528:2620
10Sandviken1554624:2319
11Ljungskile1554621:2019
12Brage1645728:2917
13Norrby1538419:2117
14Orebro1535713:2214
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall15301212:349
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)