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Falkenberg vs Nordic United

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Komano H.
53' Event
Mohammad E.
64'
Sub
Komano H. In: Sangare L.
Out: Komano H.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Falkenberg and Nordic United finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Falkenberg
20%
Draws
23%
Nordic United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Falkenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Falkenberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Falkenberg a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 16%
Nordic United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkenberg Nordic United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.93 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Nordic United
1:1
May 17, 2026 Superettan
Nordic United vs Falkenberg
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammad E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nordic United Compare

Top Goalscorer Harabi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkenberg 84 / 100
Nordic United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkenberg Nordic United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkenberg scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Nordic United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Falkenberg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Falkenberg VS Nordic United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkenberg

(Home)
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
10 Sept
Falkenberg
2 : 1
Oster
05 Sept
Oddevold
2 : 1
Falkenberg
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
Page 1 of 6

Nordic United

(Away)
19 Sept
Nordic United
1 : 4
Landskrona
14 Sept
Orebro
1 : 1
Nordic United
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4
Varnamo
04 Sept
Oster
1 : 2
Nordic United
29 Aug
Nordic United
1 : 3
Norrkoping
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)