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Falkenberg vs Orebro

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Yasin A.
53'
Mohammad E.
61'
Yasin A.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Falkenberg and Orebro finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Falkenberg
6%
Draws
4%
Orebro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Falkenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Orebro haven't matched Falkenberg's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Falkenberg a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 17%
Orebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkenberg Orebro
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Orebro
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Superettan
Orebro vs Falkenberg
4:1
Apr 29, 2025 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Orebro
2:1
Mar 12, 2021 Club Friendly
Orebro vs Falkenberg
3:1
Oct 17, 2020 Allsvenskan
Falkenberg vs Orebro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Beqiri L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Orebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Yasin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkenberg 84 / 100
Orebro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkenberg Orebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkenberg found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Orebro let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Falkenberg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Falkenberg VS Orebro
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkenberg

(Home)
26 Jul
Sundsvall
1 : 2
Falkenberg
21 Jul
Falkenberg
2 : 3
Helsingborg
17 Jul
Falkenberg
6 : 0
Laholms
11 Jul
Falkenberg
1 : 2
Landskrona
26 Jun
Brage
2 : 4
Falkenberg
Page 1 of 6

Orebro

(Away)
27 Jul
Orebro
0 : 0
Oddevold
19 Jul
Nordic United
2 : 0
Orebro
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Ljungskile
3 : 2
Orebro
22 Jun
Orebro
1 : 1
Sandviken
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norrkoping16102427:1032
2Falkenberg1694332:2431
3Varberg1693432:2230
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Nordic United1675426:2326
6Oster1682627:2526
7Landskrona1674522:1725
8Helsingborg1673630:3224
9Sandviken1664627:2322
10Oddevold1656528:2621
11Ljungskile1654721:2319
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1636713:2215
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)