Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Falkirk vs Dundee Utd

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2025/2026 Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Stewart B.
20'
Sevelj V.
21' Event
Yeats F.
Assist: McCann L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Falkirk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Falkirk
30%
Draws
31%
Dundee Utd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Falkirk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Falkirk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Falkirk's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Falkirk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dundee Utd, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 16%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkirk Dundee Utd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Falkirk
1:1
Mar 6, 2026 Scottish Cup
Falkirk vs Dundee Utd
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Dundee Utd
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs Falkirk
0:3
Aug 3, 2025 Premiership
Falkirk vs Dundee Utd
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkirk Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yeats F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dundee Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Eskesen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkirk 57 / 100
Dundee Utd 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkirk Dundee Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkirk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Falkirk's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dundee Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Falkirk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Falkirk VS Dundee Utd
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkirk

(Home)
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
09 Aug
Motherwell
0 : 0
Falkirk
Page 1 of 6

Dundee Utd

(Away)
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
29 Aug
Kilmarnock
0 : 4
Dundee Utd
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
15 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 4
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clyde -
TBD -
TBD -
Annan -
Lossiemouth 1
Formartine Utd 2
Huntly 1
Buckie Thistle 3
Stranraer -
TBD -
Glenafton 3
Invergordon 2
Jeanfield Swifts 0
Clydebank FC 4
Newtongrange Star 1
East Stirlingshire 3
Boness Athletic 2
Keith 1
Linlithgow Rose 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
Coldstream 2
Tayport FC 3
Auchinleck Talbot 2
Cumnock Juniors 1
Carluke Rovers FC 0
Gretna 2008 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
East Fife -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arbroath -
Livingston -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 2
Albion Rovers 1
Johnstone Burgh 4
Threave Rovers 0
Edinburgh City -
TBD -
Stirling University 6
Burntisland Shipyard 2
Elgin City -
TBD -
Darvel FC 1
Deveronvale 3
Forres Mechanics 0
Caledonian Braves 2
TBD -
Stirling -
Musselburgh 2
Bonnyton Thistle 0
TBD -
Forfar Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
Wick Academy 5
Rothes 0
Cowdenbeath 1
Benburb 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montrose -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lochee United 1
Brechin 3
Civil Service Strollers 2
Dundonald Bluebell 3
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cove Rangers -
Aberdeen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boness United 0
Banks O' Dee 3
Brora Rangers 0
Fraserburgh 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clachnacuddin 2
Kilwinning Rangers 1
Inverurie Loco Works 0
Sauchie 2
Peterhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
Hearts -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berwick 0
Nairn County 2
Turriff United 2
Hill Of Beath 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Cumbernauld Colts 4
Glasgow University 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Broxburn Athletic 1
Spartans -
TBD -
TBD -
East Kilbride -
Tranent FC 3
Pollok 0
Strathspey Thistle 1
Dundee North End 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inverness -
1/64-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clyde 2
Annan 3
Formartine Utd 0
Buckie Thistle 2
Stranraer 4
Glenafton 0
Clydebank FC 3
East Stirlingshire 1
Boness Athletic 0
Linlithgow Rose 2
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Dumbarton 2
Tayport FC 0
Auchinleck Talbot 3
Gretna 2008 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
East Fife -
TBD -
TBD -
Arbroath -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 1
Johnstone Burgh 0
Edinburgh City 1
Stirling University 0
Elgin City 2
Deveronvale 1
Caledonian Braves 3
Stirling 4
Musselburgh 1
Forfar Athletic 2
TBD -
Partick -
Wick Academy 1
Benburb 2
TBD -
Montrose -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
Brechin 3
Dundonald Bluebell 1
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Cove Rangers -
Aberdeen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banks O' Dee 4
Fraserburgh 0
TBD -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
TBD -
Clachnacuddin 2
Sauchie 0
Peterhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr -
TBD -
Nairn County 1
Turriff United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Cumbernauld Colts 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Spartans 2
East Kilbride 1
Tranent FC 3
Dundee North End 0
TBD -
Inverness -
1/32-finals
Rangers -
TBD -
Annan 4
Buckie Thistle 0
Stranraer 2
Clydebank FC 1
Linlithgow Rose 1
Queen's Park 3
Dumbarton 0
Auchinleck Talbot 4
TBD -
Celtic -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Airdrieonians 4
Hamilton 0
East Fife 0
Arbroath 2
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Camelon Juniors 2
Edinburgh City 1
Elgin City 4
Stirling 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Partick 2
Benburb 0
Montrose 3
Dunfermline 2
Queen of the South 1
TBD -
Hibernian -
Kelty Hearts 2
Brechin 0
St Johnstone 1
Cove Rangers 2
Aberdeen -
TBD -
Raith 1
Alloa 0
Motherwell -
TBD -
Banks O' Dee 0
Ross County 2
Stenhousemuir 4
Clachnacuddin 1
Peterhead 2
Morton 3
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Ayr 3
Turriff United 0
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Bonnyrigg Rose 1
Spartans 2
Tranent FC 1
Inverness 2
1/16-finals
Rangers 5
Annan 0
Stranraer 2
Queen's Park 1
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Celtic 2
Kilmarnock 1
Dundee FC 2
Airdrieonians 4
Arbroath 3
Livingston 1
St. Mirren 2
Camelon Juniors 1
Elgin City 3
Partick 3
Montrose 1
Dunfermline 1
Hibernian 0
Kelty Hearts 2
Cove Rangers 1
Aberdeen 1
Raith 0
Motherwell 1
Ross County 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Morton 0
Hearts 1
Falkirk 2
Ayr 0
Dundee Utd 2
Spartans 1
Inverness 0
1/8-finals
Rangers 8
Queen's Park 0
Celtic 2
Dundee FC 1
Airdrieonians 1
St. Mirren 2
Elgin City 2
Partick 3
Dunfermline 2
Kelty Hearts 0
Aberdeen 2
Motherwell 0
Stenhousemuir 0
Falkirk 2
Dundee Utd 2
Spartans 1
Quarter-finals
Rangers 0
Celtic 1
St. Mirren 2
Partick 1
Dunfermline 3
Aberdeen 0
Falkirk 2
Dundee Utd 1
Semi-finals
Celtic 6
St. Mirren 2
Dunfermline 1
Falkirk 0
Final
Celtic 3
Dunfermline 1