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Falkirk vs Edinburgh City

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Daramola T.
26' Event
Daramola T.
33' Event
Stokes J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Falkirk and Edinburgh City finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Edinburgh City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Falkirk
6%
Draws
4%
Edinburgh City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Falkirk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Falkirk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Falkirk a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 68%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkirk Edinburgh City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 1 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup
Edinburgh City vs Falkirk
0:5
Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Falkirk vs Edinburgh City
2:3
Mar 23, 2024 League One
Falkirk vs Edinburgh City
4:1
Jan 13, 2024 League One
Edinburgh City vs Falkirk
2:2
Nov 11, 2023 League One
Falkirk vs Edinburgh City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkirk Compare

Top Goalscorer Arfield S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mackie S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Edinburgh City Compare

Top Goalscorer Daramola T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stokes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkirk 95 / 100
Edinburgh City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkirk Edinburgh City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Falkirk found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Edinburgh City conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Falkirk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Falkirk VS Edinburgh City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkirk

(Home)
25 Jul
Falkirk
3 : 0
Stranraer
21 Jul
Alloa
2 : 1
Falkirk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
14 Jul
Falkirk
0 : 1
Ayr
11 Jul
Edinburgh City
0 : 5
Falkirk
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Edinburgh City

(Away)
21 Jul
Stranraer
0 : 2
Edinburgh City
18 Jul
Ayr
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
14 Jul
Edinburgh City
2 : 0
Alloa
11 Jul
Edinburgh City
0 : 5
Falkirk
04 Jul
Edinburgh City
1 : 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
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