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Falkirk vs St. Mirren

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Phillips K.
Assist: Fieldson H.
59'
Sub
Gardner J. In: Doherty A.
Out: Gardner J.
63'
Sub
Sule E. In: Young J.
Out: Sule E.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership game between Falkirk and St. Mirren finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Mirren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Falkirk
30%
Draws
31%
St. Mirren
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Falkirk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • St. Mirren have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Falkirk are scoring more at 1.52.
  • Model gives Falkirk a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 15%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkirk St. Mirren
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs St. Mirren
0:2
Mar 21, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs St. Mirren
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Falkirk
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Premiership
Falkirk vs St. Mirren
1:2
Apr 28, 2018 Championship
Falkirk vs St. Mirren
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkirk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

St. Mirren Compare

Top Goalscorer Phillips K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkirk 57 / 100
St. Mirren 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkirk St. Mirren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkirk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkirk found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

St. Mirren has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Falkirk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Falkirk VS St. Mirren
1 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkirk

(Home)
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
09 Aug
Motherwell
0 : 0
Falkirk
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St. Mirren

(Away)
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
16 Aug
Rangers
5 : 1
St. Mirren
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 14:3 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Hearts 6 4 0 2 13:7 12
4 St. Mirren 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
5 Motherwell 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
6 Dundee FC 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
7 St Johnstone 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
8 Aberdeen 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
9 Hibernian 6 2 0 4 7:10 6
10 Falkirk 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
11 Dundee Utd 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
12 Kilmarnock 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)