Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Falkirk vs St. Mirren

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Falkirk host St. Mirren in the Premiership. Little to choose between these two on current form. Falkirk have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against St. Mirren's 2.13 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Falkirk have won 3 to St. Mirren's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.19 - 2.00) back Falkirk to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Falkirk
22%
Draws
60%
St. Mirren
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: St. Mirren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Mirren haven't matched Falkirk's recent run of results.
  • Model gives St. Mirren a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 10%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkirk St. Mirren
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs St. Mirren
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Falkirk
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Premiership
Falkirk vs St. Mirren
1:2
Apr 28, 2018 Championship
Falkirk vs St. Mirren
1:0
Apr 17, 2018 Championship
St. Mirren vs Falkirk
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkirk 18 / 100
St. Mirren 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkirk St. Mirren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkirk found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

St. Mirren has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Falkirk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Falkirk VS St. Mirren
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkirk

(Home)
21 Jul
Alloa
2 : 1
Falkirk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
14 Jul
Falkirk
0 : 1
Ayr
11 Jul
Edinburgh City
0 : 5
Falkirk
07 Jul
Airdrieonians
1 : 2
Falkirk
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St. Mirren

(Away)
21 Jul
St. Mirren
4 : 3
East Kilbride
18 Jul
Cove Rangers
0 : 4
St. Mirren
11 Jul
Dumbarton
0 : 4
St. Mirren
27 Jun
Arbroath
2 : 4
St. Mirren
25 May
St. Mirren
1 : 0
Partick
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee Utd00000:00
2Falkirk00000:00
3Hearts00000:00
4Hibernian00000:00
5Kilmarnock00000:00
6Motherwell00000:00
7St. Mirren00000:00
8Dundee FC00000:00
9St Johnstone00000:00
10Celtic00000:00
11Rangers00000:00
12Aberdeen00000:00
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)