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Falkirk vs Stranraer

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Strain R.
Assist: McCann L.
41' Event
Henderson L.
Assist: Strain R.
51'
McGovern P.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Falkirk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Falkirk
6%
Draws
4%
Stranraer
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Falkirk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Falkirk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Falkirk a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Falkirk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Falkirk, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 68%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkirk Stranraer
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 1 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League Cup
Falkirk vs Stranraer
3:0
Jun 28, 2022 Club Friendly
Falkirk vs Stranraer
1:0
Mar 21, 2020 League One
Falkirk vs Stranraer
0:0
Feb 1, 2020 League One
Stranraer vs Falkirk
1:1
Nov 30, 2019 League One
Falkirk vs Stranraer
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkirk Compare

Top Goalscorer Strain R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henderson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Stranraer Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkirk 95 / 100
Stranraer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkirk Stranraer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkirk found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Stranraer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Falkirk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Falkirk VS Stranraer
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkirk

(Home)
25 Jul
Falkirk
3 : 0
Stranraer
21 Jul
Alloa
2 : 1
Falkirk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
14 Jul
Falkirk
0 : 1
Ayr
11 Jul
Edinburgh City
0 : 5
Falkirk
Page 1 of 6

Stranraer

(Away)
25 Jul
Falkirk
3 : 0
Stranraer
21 Jul
Stranraer
0 : 2
Edinburgh City
18 Jul
Alloa
3 : 2
Stranraer
11 Jul
Stranraer
2 : 3
Ayr
04 Jul
Morton
0 : 0
Stranraer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aberdeen440011:212
2Queen's Park43019:49
3Kelty Hearts42024:85
4Queen of the South41036:84
5Brora Rangers40043:110
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee Utd43018:19
2Montrose43015:29
3Arbroath42023:66
4Stirling41033:53
5Spartans41034:93
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Mirren330012:39
2Dunfermline32019:46
3East Kilbride420213:106
4Dumbarton41036:133
5Cove Rangers41033:133
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ross County440011:311
2Dundee FC430114:310
3Clyde42026:86
4Airdrieonians41035:83
5Annan40042:160
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stenhousemuir44006:310
2Partick430113:39
3Livingston420211:18
4Forfar Athletic41033:153
5Brechin40042:130
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness44005:111
2East Fife43017:39
3St Johnstone42026:27
4Linlithgow Rose41032:73
5Morton40040:70
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ayr440010:312
2Falkirk42029:27
3Edinburgh City42024:76
4Alloa42024:94
5Stranraer40044:101
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kilmarnock43012:09
2Hamilton43017:28
3Raith42025:28
4Peterhead42023:35
5Elgin City40042:120
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams