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Famalicao U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
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Match Events

4' Event
Rodrigues T.
26' Event
Sacramento J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Famalicao U19 and Vitoria Guimaraes U19 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria Guimaraes U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Famalicao U19
22%
Draws
18%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Famalicao U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Famalicao U19 come out ahead of Vitoria Guimaraes U19 on wins alone.
  • Famalicao U19 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vitoria Guimaraes U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Famalicao U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Famalicao U19 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Famalicao U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
0:2
Sep 20, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Famalicao U19
1:2
Dec 14, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Famalicao U19
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Famalicao U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
0:1
May 25, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Famalicao U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Famalicao U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sacramento J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao U19 57 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Famalicao U19 Vitoria Guimaraes U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vitoria Guimaraes U19 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Famalicao U19 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Vitoria Guimaraes U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Famalicao U19 VS Vitoria Guimaraes U19
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto U1918161162:1949
2Gil Vicente U1918102631:2332
3Rio Ave U1918101732:3131
4Famalicao U191893635:2930
5Vitoria Guimaraes U191883722:2727
6Braga U191883732:2627
7Vizela U191854930:3919
8Pacos Ferreira U191854922:3719
9Moreirense U1918441020:2716
10Chaves U1918051310:385
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benfica U1918106231:1436
2Leiria U191886430:2330
3Sporting CP U191885527:1529
4Santa Clara U191877424:1728
5Academico Viseu U191859423:1924
6Torreense U191864817:2022
7Alverca U191863923:2621
8Belenenses U191855813:2320
9Tondela U191845911:2617
10Mafra U191836922:3815