Sport Picks

Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte 2011/2012

AD Lousada

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Famalicao play AD Lousada in the Second Division - Zona Norte 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Famalicao averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. AD Lousada averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Famalicao won 0, AD Lousada won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 19, 2012 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Famalicao and 0.94 for AD Lousada. This points to a Famalicao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Famalicao

24%

Draws

32%

AD Lousada

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Famalicao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Famalicao picked up more points recently compared to AD Lousada.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Famalicao Clean Sheet 24%

AD Lousada Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Famalicao	AD Lousada
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	15	7
Draws	7	8
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	1.47	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.09	1.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte

Famalicao vs AD Lousada

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Oct 9, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte

AD Lousada vs Famalicao

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao 44 / 100

AD Lousada 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Famalicao AD Lousada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Famalicao or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Famalicao attacking → ← attacking AD Lousada

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Famalicao scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

AD Lousada let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Famalicao went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

AD Lousada lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 29

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Varzim	30	20	8	2	48:12	68
2	AD Fafe	30	16	6	8	46:29	54
3	Chaves	30	15	9	6	41:26	54
4	SC Mirandela	30	14	10	6	55:32	52
5	Tirsense	30	11	11	8	39:29	44
6	AD Limianos	30	11	11	8	34:25	44
7	Ribeirao	30	10	14	6	39:31	44
8	CD Ribeira Brava	30	12	6	12	33:37	42
9	Famalicao	30	10	9	11	29:32	39
10	Macedo de Cavaleiros	30	10	9	11	43:48	39
11	Vizela	30	9	11	10	40:42	38
12	Maritimo B	30	10	8	12	41:45	38
13	Camacha	30	8	10	12	29:36	34
14	AD Lousada	30	8	8	14	30:45	32
15	Merelinense	30	3	7	20	33:68	16
16	AD Oliveirense	30	1	7	22	14:57	10