Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Famalicao vs Lusitania FC

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Famalicao and Lusitania FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Famalicao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Famalicao
35%
Draws
44%
Lusitania FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Famalicao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Lusitania FC taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Famalicao have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Famalicao Clean Sheet 17%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Famalicao Lusitania FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Famalicao vs Lusitania FC
1:0
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Famalicao vs Lusitania FC
1:1
Oct 20, 2019 Taça de Portugal
Lusitania FC vs Famalicao
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao 28 / 100
Lusitania FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Famalicao Lusitania FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusitania FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Famalicao scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Lusitania FC conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Famalicao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Famalicao VS Lusitania FC
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Famalicao

(Home)
19 Sept
Nacional
0 : 4
Famalicao
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1
Sporting CP
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0
Gil Vicente
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0
Famalicao
Page 1 of 6

Lusitania FC

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Madalena
1 : 3
Lusitania FC
14 Sept
Sporting CP B
1 : 2
Lusitania FC
07 Sept
Lusitania FC
2 : 1
AFS
29 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Lusitania FC
22 Aug
Lusitania FC
2 : 2
Torreense
Page 1 of 6