Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Famalicao vs Lusitania FC

World World

Club Friendly
Wed, Jul 15, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Famalicao host Lusitania FC in the Club Friendly. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Famalicao at 1.25 goals for, 0.88 against; Lusitania FC at 0.88 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Famalicao have won 1 to Lusitania FC's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.88, favoring Famalicao. Famalicao in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Famalicao
6%
Draws
4%
Lusitania FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Famalicao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Famalicao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Famalicao taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Famalicao Clean Sheet 20%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Famalicao Lusitania FC
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Famalicao vs Lusitania FC
1:1
Oct 20, 2019 Taça de Portugal
Lusitania FC vs Famalicao
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao 85 / 100
Lusitania FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Famalicao Lusitania FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Famalicao went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Famalicao scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Lusitania FC conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Famalicao VS Lusitania FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%