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Famalicao W vs Vilaverdense W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Vila Nova de Famalicao
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Dias R.
Assist: Meriva D.
18' Event
Meriva D.
Assist: Dias R.
20' Event
Borges K.
Assist: Cardozo K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 game between Famalicao W and Vilaverdense W finished 7-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Famalicao W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Famalicao W
15%
Draws
0%
Vilaverdense W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Famalicao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vilaverdense W haven't matched Famalicao W's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Famalicao W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Famalicao W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Famalicao W Clean Sheet 20%
Vilaverdense W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Famalicao W Vilaverdense W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 3 1
Losses 17 26
Goals Scored 1.41 0.37
Goals Conceded 2.13 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Famalicao W
0:6
Nov 16, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Famalicao W vs Vilaverdense W
7:1
Apr 14, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Famalicao W vs Vilaverdense W
2:1
Nov 26, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Vilaverdense W vs Famalicao W
1:2
Mar 26, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Famalicao W vs Vilaverdense W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Famalicao W Compare

Top Goalscorer Borges K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dias R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.03
Avg xA / game 1.97

Vilaverdense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mineira K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Famalicao W 85 / 100
Vilaverdense W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Famalicao W Vilaverdense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Famalicao W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilaverdense W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Vilaverdense W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Famalicao W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Famalicao W VS Vilaverdense W
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 5.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Famalicao W

(Home)
17 Jan
Vitoria Guimaraes W
3 : 0
Famalicao W
13 Dec
C.F. Benfica W
1 : 2
Famalicao W
07 Jun
Rio Ave W
0 : 0
Famalicao W
25 May
Famalicao W
0 : 1
Rio Ave W
11 May
Racing Power W
0 : 2
Famalicao W
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Vilaverdense W

(Away)
11 May
Damaiense W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
03 May
Vilaverdense W
0 : 5
Maritimo W
13 Apr
Vilaverdense W
0 : 6
Famalicao W
30 Mar
Estoril Praia W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
16 Mar
Vilaverdense W
0 : 7
Torreense W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 20 2 0 65:10 62
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 66:9 54
3 Braga W 22 13 3 6 51:17 42
4 Torreense W 22 13 2 7 46:22 41
5 Valadares Gaia W 22 12 2 8 44:24 38
6 Racing Power W 22 9 7 6 35:23 34
7 Maritimo W 22 9 3 10 28:26 30
8 Damaiense W 22 8 2 12 22:29 26
9 Famalicao W 22 7 2 13 32:54 23
10 Estoril Praia W 22 5 4 13 28:49 19
11 Albergaria/Durit W 22 3 2 17 13:60 11
12 Vilaverdense W 22 0 0 22 4:111 0
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)