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Fana vs Ardal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Lygre J.
23' Event
Gjerstad H.
29' Event
Moldenes E. O.

AI Match Summary

Fana in this Division 3 - Group 1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fana
15%
Draws
48%
Ardal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ardal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Fana have won more games recently than Ardal.
  • Ardal are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Fana Clean Sheet 17%
Ardal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fana Ardal
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 20 7
Draws 6 1
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 2.87 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.89 3.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Ardal vs Fana
2:1
May 16, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Fana vs Ardal
5:0
Sep 18, 2021 Division 3 - Group 4
Fana vs Ardal
3:0
Oct 17, 2020 Division 3 - Group 4
Fana vs Ardal
0:0
Sep 19, 2020 Division 3 - Group 4
Fana vs Ardal
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fana Compare

Top Goalscorer Moldenes E. O.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lygre J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Ardal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fana 23 / 100
Ardal 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fana Ardal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fana scored in 97% of their last 38 games.

Defensive concern: Ardal conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Fana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fana VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fana

(Home)
31 Aug
Fana
2 : 2
Brann 2
22 Aug
Fana
1 : 3
Bjarg
15 Aug
Sogndal 2
1 : 3
Fana
08 Aug
Fana
4 : 0
Gneist IL
02 Aug
Varegg
4 : 2
Fana
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Ardal

(Away)
27 Oct
Ardal
0 : 4
Sandviken
20 Oct
Askoy
3 : 0
Ardal
05 Oct
Ardal
11 : 2
Asane 2
28 Sept
Djerv 1919
3 : 4
Ardal
21 Sept
Ardal
6 : 1
Floro
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