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Fana vs Stord

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Moldenes E. O.
50' Event
Fosse-Iversen F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 game between Fana and Stord finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Fana
35%
Draws
15%
Stord
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Stord haven't matched Fana's recent run of results.
  • Fana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Fana Clean Sheet 10%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fana Stord
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.66 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Fana
3:5
May 1, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Fana vs Stord
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Stord vs Fana
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Fana vs Stord
2:2
May 25, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Stord vs Fana
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fana Compare

Top Goalscorer Moldenes E. O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fosse-Iversen F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Stord Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fana 83 / 100
Stord 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fana Stord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fana scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Stord's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Fana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fana VS Stord
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fana

(Home)
12 Sept
Fana
3 : 2
OS TF
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
31 Aug
Fana
2 : 2
Brann 2
22 Aug
Fana
1 : 3
Bjarg
15 Aug
Sogndal 2
1 : 3
Fana
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Stord

(Away)
12 Sept
Askoy
3 : 3
Stord
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
30 Aug
Forde
1 : 1
Stord
17 Aug
Stord
2 : 2
Asane 2
08 Aug
OS TF
8 : 2
Stord
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