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Fancesa vs Aurora

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2016/2017
Fancesa Logo

Fancesa

0 - 1
FT
Aurora Logo

Aurora

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2016/2017 game between Fancesa and Aurora finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Fancesa
35%
Draws
39%
Aurora
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Fancesa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 20%
Aurora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fancesa Aurora
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 12
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 2.09 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.49 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Aurora vs Fancesa
1:0
Mar 18, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Aurora
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fancesa 31 / 100
Aurora 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fancesa Aurora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fancesa's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Aurora has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Fancesa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aurora
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fancesa

(Home)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
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Aurora

(Away)
08 Aug
Aurora
2 : 4
Bolivar
04 Aug
Independiente
1 : 1
Aurora
31 Jul
The Strongest
1 : 1
Aurora
24 Jul
Aurora
3 : 2
Academia del Balompie
19 Jul
Aurora
2 : 2
Oriente Petrolero
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Destroyers 8 5 3 0 16:6 18
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
3 Universitario Beni 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
4 Always Ready 8 2 2 4 6:14 8
5 Atletico Bermejo 8 1 1 6 7:15 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 6 4 2 0 5:1 14
2 Real America 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Ciclon 6 0 2 4 6:13 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)