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Fancesa vs Ciclon

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fancesa in this Nacional B 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fancesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Fancesa
11%
Draws
9%
Ciclon
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Fancesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Ciclon haven't matched Fancesa's recent run of results.
  • Fancesa are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 13%
Ciclon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fancesa Ciclon
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.5 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Ciclon
4:1
Mar 5, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Fancesa
1:1
Dec 18, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Ciclon
2:1
Nov 23, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Fancesa
1:4
Dec 6, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Ciclon
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fancesa 75 / 100
Ciclon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fancesa Ciclon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fancesa scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Ciclon let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Fancesa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fancesa VS Ciclon
2.5 Goals Scored 1.14
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
75% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Fancesa

(Home)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
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Ciclon

(Away)
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 1
Ciclon
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Ciclon
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Destroyers853016:618
2Ramiro Castillo834114:1013
3Universitario Beni840415:1312
4Always Ready82246:148
5Atletico Bermejo81167:154
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aurora64205:114
2Real America631211:810
3Fancesa62139:97
4Ciclon60246:132
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)