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Fancesa vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

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Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

The Copa Simon Bolivar game between Fancesa and Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz finished 2-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fancesa
33%
Draws
40%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz a 40% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Simon Bolivar fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 10%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fancesa Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 20
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Fancesa
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fancesa 26 / 100
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fancesa Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fancesa found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Fancesa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fancesa VS Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz650118:515
2Rio San Juan641111:613
3Fancesa621316:137
4C.A. Chocorosi60063:240
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11 de Mayo650111:215
2CD Guadalajara63037:89
3Central Union62048:96
4Ingenieros62045:126
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi632110:511
2Torre Fuerte63039:99
3Nueva Cliza62317:79
4Nacional Sucre61147:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Juan FC632112:511
2Olympic FC62319:39
3CD Ingenio62229:118
4Chaco FC60337:183
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Sucre660026:518
2Deportivo Shalon620419:126
3Libertad FC62046:146
43 de Febrero62046:266
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tiquipaya651018:516
2Municipal de Tarija631216:910
3Pucarani630311:69
4Universitario de Pando60066:310