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Fancesa vs Real America

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2016/2017
Fancesa Logo

Fancesa

3 - 2
FT
Real America Logo

Real America

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2016/2017 game between Fancesa and Real America finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fancesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Fancesa
20%
Draws
57%
Real America
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real America

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Real America haven't matched Fancesa's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Nacional B 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 20%
Real America Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fancesa Real America
Matches Played 33 6
Wins 14 3
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 2.12 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real America vs Fancesa
3:1
Apr 1, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Real America
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fancesa 36 / 100
Real America 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fancesa Real America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real America Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fancesa scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Real America conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Fancesa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fancesa VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fancesa

(Home)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
Page 1 of 7

Real America

(Away)
06 May
Ciclon
2 : 4
Real America
29 Apr
Real America
0 : 0
Aurora
15 Apr
Real America
3 : 1
Fancesa
01 Apr
Fancesa
3 : 2
Real America
18 Mar
Real America
2 : 1
Ciclon
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Destroyers 8 5 3 0 16:6 18
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
3 Universitario Beni 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
4 Always Ready 8 2 2 4 6:14 8
5 Atletico Bermejo 8 1 1 6 7:15 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 6 4 2 0 5:1 14
2 Real America 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Ciclon 6 0 2 4 6:13 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)