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Fancesa vs Rosario Central

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Nacional B 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2016/2017 game between Fancesa and Rosario Central finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Fancesa
20%
Draws
51%
Rosario Central
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Fancesa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fancesa's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 18%
Rosario Central Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fancesa Rosario Central
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 2.13 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Rosario Central vs Fancesa
0:6
Nov 5, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs Rosario Central
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fancesa 36 / 100
Rosario Central 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fancesa Rosario Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fancesa found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Rosario Central let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Fancesa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fancesa VS Rosario Central
2.25 Goals Scored 1.67
1 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Fancesa

(Home)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
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Rosario Central

(Away)
25 Jun
Stormers SL
2 : 0
Rosario Central
17 Jun
Rosario Central
4 : 0
Huracan Tupiza
11 Jun
Rosario Central
1 : 2
Real Potosi
04 Jun
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Stormers SL
28 May
Huracan Tupiza
0 : 1
Rosario Central
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Destroyers 6 4 2 0 12:6 14
2 Real America 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Universitario Beni 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
4 Miraflores 6 0 0 6 6:18 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 2 1 16:8 17
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 5 2 1 13:5 17
3 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 12:9 10
4 Tiquipaya 8 3 1 4 13:11 10
5 Deportivo Escara 8 0 2 6 5:26 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Bermejo 8 5 1 2 10:8 16
2 Ciclon 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
3 Fancesa 8 4 1 3 17:8 13
4 Quebracho Villa Montes 8 3 1 4 21:12 10
5 Rosario Central 8 1 1 6 9:33 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)