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Fanfulla vs Adrense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group D 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 game between Fanfulla and Adrense finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fanfulla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Fanfulla
30%
Draws
58%
Adrense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Adrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Adrense come out ahead of Fanfulla on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Adrense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 19%
Adrense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fanfulla Adrense
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.49 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Fanfulla vs Adrense
3:0
Oct 28, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Adrense vs Fanfulla
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fanfulla 10 / 100
Adrense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fanfulla Adrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adrense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Fanfulla found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (37 games).

Defensive concern: Adrense conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fanfulla stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fanfulla VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fanfulla

(Home)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 8

Adrense

(Away)
05 May
Adrense
4 : 2
Reggiana
28 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 2
Adrense
18 Apr
Modena
1 : 0
Adrense
14 Apr
Adrense
2 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
07 Apr
Sasso Marconi
0 : 0
Adrense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pergolettese 34 22 7 5 62:32 73
2 Modena 34 21 10 3 60:27 73
3 Reggiana 34 19 9 6 57:28 66
4 Fanfulla 34 16 9 9 58:52 57
5 Fiorenzuola 34 16 8 10 52:31 56
6 Crema 34 12 13 9 52:50 49
7 Adrense 34 12 11 11 45:45 47
8 Vigor Carpaneto 34 11 14 9 42:35 47
9 Axys Zola 34 11 8 15 40:45 41
10 Ciliverghe Mazzano 34 11 8 15 38:48 41
11 Lentigione 34 8 15 11 34:36 39
12 Desenzano Calvina 34 8 15 11 40:51 39
13 Pavia 34 9 9 16 32:46 36
14 Mezzolara 34 7 14 13 39:50 35
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 10 16 31:50 34
16 San Marino Calcio 34 5 16 13 24:32 31
17 USD Classe 1974 34 6 12 16 25:51 30
18 OltrepoVoghera 34 3 14 17 22:44 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Play Offs)