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Fanfulla vs Breno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Lucatti G.
49' Event
Odalo G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Fanfulla and Breno finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fanfulla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Fanfulla
35%
Draws
46%
Breno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Breno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Breno come out ahead of Fanfulla on wins alone.
  • Breno are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 21%
Breno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fanfulla Breno
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.87 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Fanfulla vs Breno
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Fanfulla
2:0
Feb 24, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Fanfulla
1:1
Oct 4, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Fanfulla vs Breno
3:0
Apr 19, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Fanfulla vs Breno
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fanfulla Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucatti G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Odalo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Breno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fanfulla 24 / 100
Breno 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fanfulla Breno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Breno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Breno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Fanfulla scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Fanfulla has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Breno
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fanfulla

(Home)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
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Breno

(Away)
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2
Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Breno
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)