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Fanfulla vs Folgore Caratese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Tomella C.
38' Event
Cocola N.
68' Event
Mazzone A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Fanfulla and Folgore Caratese finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Folgore Caratese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fanfulla
35%
Draws
32%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Folgore Caratese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 19%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fanfulla Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 12
Draws 11 12
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.87 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Fanfulla vs Folgore Caratese
1:2
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Fanfulla
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fanfulla Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomella C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Folgore Caratese Compare

Top Goalscorer Cocola N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mazzone A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fanfulla 32 / 100
Folgore Caratese 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fanfulla Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Caratese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Fanfulla scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Folgore Caratese has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Folgore Caratese has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Folgore Caratese
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fanfulla

(Home)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

Folgore Caratese

(Away)
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2
Folgore Caratese
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)