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Fanfulla vs Sant'Angelo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
D'Este N.
43' Event
Lucatti G.
76' Event
Lucatti G.

AI Match Summary

Fanfulla in this Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fanfulla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Fanfulla
35%
Draws
53%
Sant'Angelo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sant'Angelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Fanfulla haven't matched Sant'Angelo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sant'Angelo a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Fanfulla Clean Sheet 20%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fanfulla Sant'Angelo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.87 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Fanfulla vs Sant'Angelo
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Sant'Angelo vs Fanfulla
2:0
May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Fanfulla
0:0
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Fanfulla vs Sant'Angelo
1:4
Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Fanfulla vs Sant'Angelo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fanfulla Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucatti G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Sant'Angelo Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Este N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fanfulla 12 / 100
Sant'Angelo 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fanfulla Sant'Angelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sant'Angelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sant'Angelo conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Fanfulla's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fanfulla stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sant'Angelo
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fanfulla

(Home)
04 May
Club Milano
3 : 2
Fanfulla
27 Apr
Fanfulla
1 : 1
Sangiuliano City
17 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
13 Apr
Arconatese
4 : 2
Fanfulla
06 Apr
Fanfulla
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
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Sant'Angelo

(Away)
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Varesina
06 Sept
Correggese
1 : 1
Sant'Angelo
23 Aug
Rovato Vertovese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2
Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)