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FAR Rabat vs Mamelodi Sundowns

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Leon B.
4'
Louadni M.
20'
Hrimat M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CAF Champions League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
FAR Rabat
20%
Draws
38%
Mamelodi Sundowns
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FAR Rabat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Mamelodi Sundowns have won more games recently than FAR Rabat.
  • FAR Rabat are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FAR Rabat Clean Sheet 16%
Mamelodi Sundowns Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FAR Rabat Mamelodi Sundowns
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 13 19
Draws 17 6
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 CAF Champions League
FAR Rabat vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1:1
May 17, 2026 CAF Champions League
Mamelodi Sundowns vs FAR Rabat
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 CAF Champions League
Mamelodi Sundowns vs FAR Rabat
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 CAF Champions League
FAR Rabat vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FAR Rabat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mamelodi Sundowns Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokoena T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FAR Rabat 41 / 100
Mamelodi Sundowns 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FAR Rabat Mamelodi Sundowns

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FAR Rabat found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

FAR Rabat has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Mamelodi Sundowns conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FAR Rabat VS Mamelodi Sundowns
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 43%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Esperance Tunis4
Al Ahly2
Mamelodi Sundowns3
Stade Malien2
FAR Rabat3
Pyramids2
Berkane2
Al-Hilal Omdurman1
Semi-finals
Esperance Tunis0
Mamelodi Sundowns2
FAR Rabat2
Berkane1
Final
Mamelodi Sundowns2
FAR Rabat1