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FAR Rabat vs Mamelodi Sundowns

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League 2025/2026 Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Leon B.
4'
Louadni M.
20'
Hrimat M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CAF Champions League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FAR Rabat
20%
Draws
40%
Mamelodi Sundowns
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Mamelodi Sundowns have won more games recently than FAR Rabat.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Mamelodi Sundowns arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
FAR Rabat Clean Sheet 22%
Mamelodi Sundowns Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FAR Rabat Mamelodi Sundowns
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 20
Draws 14 8
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 1.38 1.9
Goals Conceded 1 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 CAF Champions League
FAR Rabat vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1:1
May 17, 2026 CAF Champions League
Mamelodi Sundowns vs FAR Rabat
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 CAF Champions League
Mamelodi Sundowns vs FAR Rabat
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 CAF Champions League
FAR Rabat vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FAR Rabat Compare

Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.66

Mamelodi Sundowns Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokoena T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FAR Rabat 32 / 100
Mamelodi Sundowns 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FAR Rabat Mamelodi Sundowns

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mamelodi Sundowns Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: FAR Rabat stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

FAR Rabat found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Mamelodi Sundowns's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

FAR Rabat VS Mamelodi Sundowns
1.4 Goals Scored 1.38
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.25
60% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FAR Rabat

(Home)
12 Sept
FAR Rabat
3 : 2
Widad Temara
09 Sept
FAR Rabat
1 : 1
Difaa El Jadidi
03 Sept
FAR Rabat
1 : 0
Olympique de Safi
13 Aug
FAR Rabat
2 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
08 Jul
FAR Rabat
2 : 1
Stade Marocain
Page 1 of 6

Mamelodi Sundowns

(Away)
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
12 Sept
Chippa Utd.
1 : 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
09 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
3 : 0
Siwelele
06 Sept
Golden Arrows
1 : 2
Mamelodi Sundowns
02 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 0
Milford
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Esperance Tunis 4
Al Ahly 2
Mamelodi Sundowns 3
Stade Malien 2
FAR Rabat 3
Pyramids 2
Berkane 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman 1
Semi-finals
Esperance Tunis 0
Mamelodi Sundowns 2
FAR Rabat 2
Berkane 1
Final
Mamelodi Sundowns 2
FAR Rabat 1