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Fard vs Havadar SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fard host Havadar SC in the Azadegan League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Fard at 0.69 goals for, 0.45 against; Havadar SC at 0.9 for, 0.9 against. Past meetings favor Havadar SC slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.19 - 0.75) back Havadar SC to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Fard
35%
Draws
9%
Havadar SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Fard have managed 0.69 goals a game lately — Havadar SC are scoring more at 0.9.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Fard taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Fard Clean Sheet 20%
Havadar SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fard Havadar SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 14 13
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.69 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.45 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Azadegan League
Havadar SC vs Fard
1:0
Sep 30, 2025 Azadegan League
Fard vs Havadar SC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fard 85 / 100
Havadar SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fard Havadar SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Fard remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Havadar SC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Fard found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (29 games).

Havadar SC has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fard VS Havadar SC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fard

(Home)
04 Oct
Naft Masjed-Soleyman
1 : 0
Fard
27 Sept
Fard
0 : 0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
21 Sept
Niroye Zamini
0 : 1
Fard
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Damash Gilan
0 : 0
Fard
Page 1 of 6

Havadar SC

(Away)
05 Oct
Havadar SC
0 : 1
Pars Janoobi Jam
28 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Sept
Havadar SC
0 : 3
Besat Kermanshah
16 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0
Havadar SC
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0
Havadar SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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